Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-VAC26-KBRA
Will Keegan Bradley win the Valspar Championship?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Keegan Bradley
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 424500
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Keegan Bradley wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP10-VAC26-KBRA
Valspar Championship: Will Keegan Bradley finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Keegan Bradley
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1381
YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Keegan Bradley finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:28:07Z
Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily a top 10 finish.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0200
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A