Pair #1458

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-KBRA

Valspar Championship: Will Keegan Bradley make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Keegan Bradley
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3370

YES ask: 0.4900
NO ask: 0.6200
Last: 0.4900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keegan Bradley makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VAC26-KBRA

Will Keegan Bradley lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Keegan Bradley
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 29801

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keegan Bradley is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:27:49Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (cut is made after Round 2). Making the cut does not require leading after Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.6400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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