Pair #1455

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-KBRA

Valspar Championship: Will Keegan Bradley finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Keegan Bradley
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1381

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Keegan Bradley finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-KBRA

Valspar Championship: Will Keegan Bradley finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Keegan Bradley
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9718

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Keegan Bradley finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:27:49Z

Reasoning: If Bradley finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20 as well (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold — a top 20 finish does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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