Pair #1453

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-KBRA

Valspar Championship: Will Keegan Bradley finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Keegan Bradley
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9718

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Keegan Bradley finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-KBRA

Valspar Championship: Will Keegan Bradley make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Keegan Bradley
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3370

YES ask: 0.4900
NO ask: 0.6200
Last: 0.4900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Keegan Bradley makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:27:49Z

Reasoning: If Bradley finishes top 20, he must have made the cut — you cannot finish in the top 20 of a tournament without having made the cut. The reverse is not true; making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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