Pair #1451

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-KBRA

Valspar Championship: Will Keegan Bradley finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Keegan Bradley
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9718

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Keegan Bradley finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-KBRA

Will Keegan Bradley win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Keegan Bradley
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 2071417

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Keegan Bradley wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:27:26Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 at the Valspar and winning the Masters are entirely independent events. No implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9410
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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