Pair #1445

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-RHOJ

Valspar Championship: Will Rasmus Hojgaard finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Rasmus Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1618

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rasmus Hojgaard finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-RHOJ

Valspar Championship: Will Rasmus Hojgaard make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Rasmus Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 480

YES ask: 0.7700
NO ask: 0.3400
Last: 0.6600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rasmus Hojgaard makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:27:26Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means making the cut (you cannot finish top 10 without having made the cut). The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top-10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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