Pair #1440

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-RHOJ

Valspar Championship: Will Rasmus Hojgaard finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Rasmus Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1618

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rasmus Hojgaard finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-RHOJ

Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Rasmus Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 967685

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rasmus Hojgaard wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:27:07Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters has no logical connection to finishing top 10 at the Valspar Championship. These are independent events at different tournaments.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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