Pair #1438

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-RHOJ

Valspar Championship: Will Rasmus Hojgaard make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Rasmus Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 480

YES ask: 0.7700
NO ask: 0.3400
Last: 0.6600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rasmus Hojgaard makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-RHOJ

Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Rasmus Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 967685

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rasmus Hojgaard wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:27:07Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters has no logical connection to making the cut at the Valspar Championship. These are independent events at different tournaments.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.3410
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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