Pair #1420

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-CCON

Will Corey Conners win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Corey Conners
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 999253

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Corey Conners wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-CCON

Valspar Championship: Will Corey Conners make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Corey Conners
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 796

YES ask: 0.9200
NO ask: 0.1600
Last: 0.7700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Corey Conners makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:26:46Z

Reasoning: To win the Valspar Championship, a player must make the cut and complete all rounds. Winning necessarily implies making the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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