Pair #1419

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-CCON

Valspar Championship: Will Corey Conners finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Corey Conners
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 15769

YES ask: 0.4900
NO ask: 0.5300
Last: 0.4900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Corey Conners finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-CCOR

Will Corey Conners win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Corey Conners
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 3341958

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Corey Conners wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:26:46Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 10 at the Valspar Championship are independent events at different tournaments. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.5310
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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