Pair #1416

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-CCOR

Will Corey Conners win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Corey Conners
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 3341958

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Corey Conners wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-CCON

Will Corey Conners win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Corey Conners
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 999253

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Corey Conners wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:26:26Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and winning the Valspar Championship are independent events at separate tournaments. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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