Pair #1400

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-CCON

Valspar Championship: Will Corey Conners finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Corey Conners
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 17186

YES ask: 0.8000
NO ask: 0.2200
Last: 0.8000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Corey Conners finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-CCOR

Will Corey Conners win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Corey Conners
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 3341958

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Corey Conners wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:26:05Z

Reasoning: These are completely separate events (different tournaments). No logical implication exists in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.2210
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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