Pair #1381

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-LGLO

Valspar Championship: Will Lucas Glover finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Lucas Glover
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4857

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Lucas Glover finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-LGLO

Valspar Championship: Will Lucas Glover finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Lucas Glover
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6995

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Lucas Glover finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:25:46Z

Reasoning: If Glover finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20 as well. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue