Pair #1376

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-SFIS

Valspar Championship: Will Steven Fisk finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Steven Fisk
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3187

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Steven Fisk finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-SFIS

Valspar Championship: Will Steven Fisk finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Steven Fisk
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 275

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Steven Fisk finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:25:29Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. The reverse is not true.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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