Pair #1371

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-SKIM

Valspar Championship: Will Seonghyeon Kim finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Seonghyeon Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 17882

YES ask: 0.5500
NO ask: 0.5000
Last: 0.5000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Seonghyeon Kim finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-SKIM

Valspar Championship: Will Seonghyeon Kim finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Seonghyeon Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2535

YES ask: 0.8200
NO ask: 0.2200
Last: 0.8200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Seonghyeon Kim finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:25:29Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. The reverse is not true — top 20 does not imply top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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