Pair #1364

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-JBRI

Valspar Championship: Will Jacob Bridgeman finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Jacob Bridgeman
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 82015

YES ask: 0.6000
NO ask: 0.4200
Last: 0.6000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jacob Bridgeman finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-JBRI

Valspar Championship: Will Jacob Bridgeman make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jacob Bridgeman
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1159

YES ask: 0.9800
NO ask: 0.0400
Last: 0.9800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jacob Bridgeman makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:24:41Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 requires playing the weekend rounds, which means making the cut. Making the cut does not imply finishing top 20.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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