Pair #1346

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-PCOO

Valspar Championship: Will Pierceson Coody finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Pierceson Coody
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5959

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Pierceson Coody finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-PCOO

Valspar Championship: Will Pierceson Coody finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Pierceson Coody
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13358

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Pierceson Coody finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:24:23Z

Reasoning: A top 10 finish is necessarily also a top 20 finish. A top 20 finish does not necessitate a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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