Pair #1344

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VAC26-PCOO

Will Pierceson Coody lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Pierceson Coody
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13249

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Pierceson Coody is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-PCOO

Valspar Championship: Will Pierceson Coody finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Pierceson Coody
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13358

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Pierceson Coody finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:24:07Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 overall does not require leading after Round 1, and leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top 20 finish. These are independent events with no logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue