Pair #13099

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAHOLESCORE-THOC26R1RMCI-15BOGEY

What score will Rory McIlroy record on Hole 15 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAHOLESCORE
Entity: Hole 15: Bogey or worse
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 2000

YES ask: 0.9200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.1600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rory McIlroy has recorded a hole score (relative to par) of bogey or worse on Hole 15 in Round 1 of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAHOLESCORE-THOC26R1SSCH-15BOGEY

What score will Scottie Scheffler record on Hole 15 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAHOLESCORE
Entity: Hole 15: Bogey or worse
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 2000

YES ask: 0.9200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.1600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Scottie Scheffler has recorded a hole score (relative to par) of bogey or worse on Hole 15 in Round 1 of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-15T08:02:47Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXPGAHOLESCORE-THOC26R1SSCH-14BIRD/KXPGAHOLESCORE-THOC26R1RMCI-14BIRD] Independent players' hole scores in the same round.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.9100 + ~$0.0058 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue