Pair #13029

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-THOC26APAC-TKIM

Will Tom Kim finish as the top Asian/Oceanic golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-07-20T02:38:37.305Z
Volume: 1614

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9300
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tom Kim records the lowest total strokes among all Asian/Oceanic golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-THOC26-TKIM

The Open Championship: Will Tom Kim finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 3656

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tom Kim finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-15T08:01:32Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: Top-5 finish doesn't guarantee being the best among Asian/Oceanic golfers, another could rank higher.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -93.43% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0200 + ~$0.0103 est. fees
Days to maturity: 4
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -97.66% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue