Pair #13027

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-TKIM

Will Tom Kim win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 2311083

YES ask: 0.0180
NO ask: 0.9830
Last: 0.0180

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Rules

If Tom Kim wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-THOC26APAC-TKIM

Will Tom Kim finish as the top Asian/Oceanic golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-07-20T02:38:37.305Z
Volume: 1614

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9300
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tom Kim records the lowest total strokes among all Asian/Oceanic golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-15T08:01:32Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means having the lowest overall strokes, which guarantees being the top Asian/Oceanic golfer.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -99.96% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0830 + ~$0.0075 est. fees
Days to maturity: 4
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.19% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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