Pair #13021

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-TKIM

The Open Championship: Will Tom Kim make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 1394

YES ask: 0.7000
NO ask: 0.3200
Last: 0.7000

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Rules

If Tom Kim has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-THOC26APAC-TKIM

Will Tom Kim finish as the top Asian/Oceanic golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-07-20T02:38:37.305Z
Volume: 1614

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9300
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tom Kim records the lowest total strokes among all Asian/Oceanic golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-15T08:01:32Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: Making the cut doesn't guarantee having the lowest strokes among Asian/Oceanic golfers.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.4200 + ~$0.0215 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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