Pair #13019

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-THOC26USA-WCLA

Will Wyndham Clark finish as the top American golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-07-17T17:38:37.305023Z
Volume: 8709

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Wyndham Clark records the lowest total strokes among all American golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP40-THOC26-WCLA

The Open Championship: Will Wyndham Clark finish top 40?

Series: KXPGATOP40
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 13314

YES ask: 0.5600
NO ask: 0.4600
Last: 0.5700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Wyndham Clark finishes in the top 40 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-15T08:01:10Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXPGAPLAYERCAT-THOC26USA-JSPI/KXPGATOP40-THOC26-JSPI] Being top American golfer doesn't guarantee a top 40 overall finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): N/A
Cost: $1.5600 + ~$0.0172 est. fees
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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