Pair #13000

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-VPER

Will Victor Perez win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Victor Perez
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 332975

YES ask: 0.0060
NO ask: 0.9950
Last: 0.0060

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Rules

If Victor Perez wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-THOC26LIV-VPER

Will Victor Perez finish as the top LIV golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Victor Perez
Expiration: 2026-07-20T02:00:00Z
Volume: 1000

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Victor Perez records the lowest total strokes among all LIV golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-15T08:01:10Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXPGATOUR-THOC26-JRAH/KXPGAPLAYERCAT-THOC26LIV-JRAH] Winning the tournament means having the lowest total strokes among all golfers, including all LIV golfers.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -99.48% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0550 + ~$0.0043 est. fees
Days to maturity: 4
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -103.71% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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