Pair #12995

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-BDEC

Will Bryson DeChambeau win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 1386183

YES ask: 0.0120
NO ask: 0.9890
Last: 0.0120

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bryson DeChambeau wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-THOC26LIV-BDEC

Will Bryson DeChambeau finish as the top LIV golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-07-20T02:00:00Z
Volume: 638

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Bryson DeChambeau records the lowest total strokes among all LIV golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-15T08:01:10Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXPGATOUR-THOC26-JRAH/KXPGAPLAYERCAT-THOC26LIV-JRAH] Winning the tournament means having the lowest total strokes among all golfers, including all LIV golfers.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -99.94% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0790 + ~$0.0065 est. fees
Days to maturity: 4
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.17% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue