Pair #12987

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-THOC26LIV-BDEC

Will Bryson DeChambeau finish as the top LIV golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-07-20T02:00:00Z
Volume: 638

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau records the lowest total strokes among all LIV golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-BDEC

Will Bryson DeChambeau lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 17576

YES ask: 0.0150
NO ask: 0.9880
Last: 0.0130

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-15T08:01:10Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-JRAH/KXPGAPLAYERCAT-THOC26LIV-JRAH] Leading after Round 1 doesn't guarantee final tournament outcome vs other LIV golfers.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9350 + ~$0.0062 est. fees
Days to maturity: 4
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

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