Pair #12982

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-THOC26LIV-BDEC

Will Bryson DeChambeau finish as the top LIV golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-07-20T02:00:00Z
Volume: 638

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau records the lowest total strokes among all LIV golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-THOC26-BDEC

The Open Championship: Will Bryson DeChambeau finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 11630

YES ask: 0.2500
NO ask: 0.7600
Last: 0.2500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-15T08:01:10Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXPGATOP20-THOC26-JRAH/KXPGAPLAYERCAT-THOC26LIV-JRAH] Top 20 finish doesn't guarantee beating all other LIV golfers.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1700 + ~$0.0183 est. fees
Days to maturity: 4
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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