Pair #12976

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-THOC26LIV-BDEC

Will Bryson DeChambeau finish as the top LIV golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-07-20T02:00:00Z
Volume: 638

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau records the lowest total strokes among all LIV golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-THOC26-BDEC

The Open Championship: Will Bryson DeChambeau finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 7810

YES ask: 0.1400
NO ask: 0.8700
Last: 0.1400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-15T08:01:10Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXPGATOP10-THOC26-JRAH/KXPGAPLAYERCAT-THOC26LIV-JRAH] Another LIV golfer could finish ahead of Rahm even if he's top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -99.85% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0600 + ~$0.0136 est. fees
Days to maturity: 4
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.08% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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