Pair #12950

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATP-26GSTAAD-BUB

Will Alexander Bublik win the ATP Gstaad?

Series: KXATP
Entity: Alexander Bublik
Expiration: 2026-08-08T11:00:00Z
Volume: 1387

YES ask: 0.2400
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.2100

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Rules

If Alexander Bublik wins the 2026 ATP Gstaad professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATP-26USO-BUB

Will Alexander Bublik win the US Open Men's Singles?

Series: KXATP
Entity: Alexander Bublik
Expiration: 2026-09-14T05:00:00Z
Volume: 6339

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alexander Bublik wins the 2026 US Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-15T08:00:46Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: Winning the US Open and winning Gstaad are independent tournament outcomes.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.8100 + ~$0.0119 est. fees
Days to maturity: 23
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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