Pair #12944

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-COPC26-BSNE

Will Brandt Snedeker win the Corales Puntacana Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Brandt Snedeker
Expiration: 2026-07-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1066

YES ask: 0.0130
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0130

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brandt Snedeker wins the Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN-2027USA-BSNE

Brandt Snedeker to be the U.S. Team Captain at 2027 Ryder Cup

Series: KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN
Entity: Brandt Snedeker
Expiration: 2027-09-30T14:00:00Z
Volume: 519

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.7000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brandt Snedeker is the U.S. Team Captain at the 2027 Ryder Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-15T08:00:46Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: Being Ryder Cup captain and winning a golf tournament are unrelated events.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -99.99% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0790 + ~$0.0052 est. fees
Days to maturity: 3
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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