Pair #12898

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-WCLA

Will Wyndham Clark win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 2094558

YES ask: 0.0240
NO ask: 0.9770
Last: 0.0240

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Wyndham Clark wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-THOC26USA-WCLA

Will Wyndham Clark finish as the top American golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-07-17T17:38:37.305023Z
Volume: 6763

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Wyndham Clark records the lowest total strokes among all American golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXPGAPLAYERCAT-THOC26USA-SSCH/KXPGATOUR-THOC26-SSCH] Winning the tournament means having the lowest overall score, which necessarily includes being the lowest among American finishers.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -85.34% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0170 + ~$0.0043 est. fees
Days to maturity: 4
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -89.57% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue