Pair #1288

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-BCAM

Valspar Championship: Will Brian Campbell finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Brian Campbell
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6184

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brian Campbell finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BCAM

Will Brian Campbell win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Brian Campbell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1755692

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brian Campbell wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:22:53Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters has no logical bearing on finishing top 10 at the Valspar Championship. These are separate tournaments.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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