Pair #1287

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-BCAM

Valspar Championship: Will Brian Campbell make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Brian Campbell
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 759

YES ask: 0.3000
NO ask: 0.8400
Last: 0.2900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brian Campbell makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BCAM

Will Brian Campbell win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Brian Campbell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1755692

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brian Campbell wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:22:53Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters has no logical bearing on making the cut at the Valspar Championship. These are separate tournaments.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.8410
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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