Pair #1274

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-KSTR

Will Kevin Streelman win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Kevin Streelman
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 29082

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Kevin Streelman wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-KSTR

Valspar Championship: Will Kevin Streelman make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Kevin Streelman
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1451

YES ask: 0.2500
NO ask: 0.8800
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Kevin Streelman makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:22:36Z

Reasoning: To win the Valspar Championship, Streelman must make the cut — you cannot win without surviving the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not mean he wins.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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