Pair #12706

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-CAME

The Open Championship: Will Cameron Young make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Cameron Young
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 14975

YES ask: 0.7100
NO ask: 0.3100
Last: 0.6900

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Rules

If Cameron Young has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-THOC26USA-CYOU

Will Cameron Young finish as the top American golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Cameron Young
Expiration: 2026-07-17T17:38:37.305023Z
Volume: 202

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Cameron Young records the lowest total strokes among all American golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-SSCH/KXPGAPLAYERCAT-THOC26USA-SSCH] Making the cut does not guarantee being the top American finisher.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.3600 + ~$0.0183 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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