Pair #12670

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-APOT

The Open Championship: Will Aldrich Potgieter make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Aldrich Potgieter
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 622

YES ask: 0.4200
NO ask: 0.5900
Last: 0.4200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aldrich Potgieter has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-APOT

Will Aldrich Potgieter lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Aldrich Potgieter
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 4703

YES ask: 0.0080
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0070

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aldrich Potgieter is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.5980 + ~$0.0175 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue