Pair #12656

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-COPC26-KVEN

Will Kris Ventura lead at the end of Round 1 in the Corales Puntacana Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Kris Ventura
Expiration: 2026-08-02T00:00:00Z
Volume: 214

YES ask: 0.0170
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0390

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kris Ventura is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-COPC26-KVEN

Will Kris Ventura win the Corales Puntacana Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Kris Ventura
Expiration: 2026-07-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2064

YES ask: 0.0190
NO ask: 0.9890
Last: 0.0190

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kris Ventura wins the Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -35.05% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0190 + ~$0.0013 est. fees
Days to maturity: 17
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -39.28% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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