Pair #1265

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-KSTR

Valspar Championship: Will Kevin Streelman finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Kevin Streelman
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2997

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kevin Streelman finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-KSTR

Valspar Championship: Will Kevin Streelman make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Kevin Streelman
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1451

YES ask: 0.2500
NO ask: 0.8800
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kevin Streelman makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:22:14Z

Reasoning: If Streelman finishes top 20 in the tournament, he must have made the cut to play the final rounds. Making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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