Pair #12648

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-COPC26-TPEN

Corales Puntacana Championship: Will Taylor Pendrith finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Taylor Pendrith
Expiration: 2026-08-02T00:00:00Z
Volume: 279

YES ask: 0.2900
NO ask: 0.7400
Last: 0.2400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Taylor Pendrith finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-COPC26-TPEN

Corales Puntacana Championship: Will Taylor Pendrith finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Taylor Pendrith
Expiration: 2026-08-02T00:00:00Z
Volume: 317

YES ask: 0.4400
NO ask: 0.5700
Last: 0.4400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Taylor Pendrith finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -98.35% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1800 + ~$0.0307 est. fees
Days to maturity: 17
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -102.58% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z

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