Pair #12646

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-COPC26-TPEN

Corales Puntacana Championship: Will Taylor Pendrith finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Taylor Pendrith
Expiration: 2026-08-02T00:00:00Z
Volume: 540

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.8400
Last: 0.2400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Taylor Pendrith finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-COPC26-TPEN

Corales Puntacana Championship: Will Taylor Pendrith finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Taylor Pendrith
Expiration: 2026-08-02T00:00:00Z
Volume: 317

YES ask: 0.4400
NO ask: 0.5700
Last: 0.4400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Taylor Pendrith finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP5 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -99.56% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.2800 + ~$0.0267 est. fees
Days to maturity: 18
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -103.79% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue