Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAR1LEAD-COPC26-TPEN
Will Taylor Pendrith lead at the end of Round 1 in the Corales Puntacana Championship?
Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Taylor Pendrith
Expiration: 2026-08-02T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9008
YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9890
Last: 0.0300
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Taylor Pendrith is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP20-COPC26-TPEN
Corales Puntacana Championship: Will Taylor Pendrith finish top 20?
Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Taylor Pendrith
Expiration: 2026-08-02T00:00:00Z
Volume: 317
YES ask: 0.4400
NO ask: 0.5700
Last: 0.4400
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Taylor Pendrith finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685
Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
-99.96%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.4290
+ ~$0.0180 est. fees
Days to maturity:
17
Hurdle yield:
4.23%
Excess yield:
-104.19%
BELOW HURDLE