Pair #12640

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-COPC26-BMAR

Corales Puntacana Championship: Will Ben Martin finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Ben Martin
Expiration: 2026-08-02T00:00:00Z
Volume: 586

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ben Martin finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-COPC26-BMAR

Corales Puntacana Championship: Will Ben Martin finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ben Martin
Expiration: 2026-08-02T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3375

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.1400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ben Martin finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -85.68% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0900 + ~$0.0106 est. fees
Days to maturity: 18
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -89.91% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue