Pair #12635

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-COPC26-CKIM

Corales Puntacana Championship: Will Chan Kim make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Chan Kim
Expiration: 2026-07-18T10:00:00Z
Volume: 210

YES ask: 0.6900
NO ask: 0.3900
Last: 0.7000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chan Kim has made the cut at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-COPC26-CKIM

Will Chan Kim lead at the end of Round 1 in the Corales Puntacana Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Chan Kim
Expiration: 2026-08-02T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1701

YES ask: 0.0180
NO ask: 0.9950
Last: 0.0190

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chan Kim is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.4080 + ~$0.0179 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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