Pair #12634

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-COPC26-CKIM

Will Chan Kim win the Corales Puntacana Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Chan Kim
Expiration: 2026-07-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 15396

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9860
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Chan Kim wins the Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-COPC26-CKIM

Corales Puntacana Championship: Will Chan Kim make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Chan Kim
Expiration: 2026-07-18T10:00:00Z
Volume: 210

YES ask: 0.6900
NO ask: 0.3900
Last: 0.7000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Chan Kim has made the cut at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOUR is a strict subset of KXPGAMAKECUT for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.6760 + ~$0.0159 est. fees
Days to maturity: 4
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z

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