Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAR1LEAD-COPC26-BJAM
Will Benjamin James lead at the end of Round 1 in the Corales Puntacana Championship?
Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Benjamin James
Expiration: 2026-08-02T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1048
YES ask: 0.0270
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0280
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Benjamin James is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOUR-COPC26-BJAM
Will Benjamin James win the Corales Puntacana Championship?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Benjamin James
Expiration: 2026-07-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 15745
YES ask: 0.0420
NO ask: 0.9620
Last: 0.0420
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Benjamin James wins the Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685
Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
-60.99%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.0420
+ ~$0.0028 est. fees
Days to maturity:
17
Hurdle yield:
4.23%
Excess yield:
-65.22%
BELOW HURDLE