Pair #12629

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-COPC26-SJAE

Corales Puntacana Championship: Will Stephan Jaeger make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Stephan Jaeger
Expiration: 2026-07-18T10:00:00Z
Volume: 318

YES ask: 0.7800
NO ask: 0.3200
Last: 0.7800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Stephan Jaeger has made the cut at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-COPC26-SJAE

Will Stephan Jaeger lead at the end of Round 1 in the Corales Puntacana Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Stephan Jaeger
Expiration: 2026-08-02T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3165

YES ask: 0.0230
NO ask: 0.9810
Last: 0.0230

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Stephan Jaeger is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.3430 + ~$0.0168 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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