Pair #12627

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-COPC26-SJAE

Will Stephan Jaeger win the Corales Puntacana Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Stephan Jaeger
Expiration: 2026-07-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 21336

YES ask: 0.0460
NO ask: 0.9660
Last: 0.0340

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Stephan Jaeger wins the Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-COPC26-SJAE

Corales Puntacana Championship: Will Stephan Jaeger make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Stephan Jaeger
Expiration: 2026-07-18T10:00:00Z
Volume: 318

YES ask: 0.7800
NO ask: 0.3200
Last: 0.7800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Stephan Jaeger has made the cut at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOUR is a strict subset of KXPGAMAKECUT for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.7460 + ~$0.0143 est. fees
Days to maturity: 4
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue