Pair #12623

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-COPC26-TDUN

Will Tyler Duncan win the Corales Puntacana Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tyler Duncan
Expiration: 2026-07-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 15767

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0260

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tyler Duncan wins the Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-COPC26-TDUN

Corales Puntacana Championship: Will Tyler Duncan finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Tyler Duncan
Expiration: 2026-08-02T00:00:00Z
Volume: 267

YES ask: 0.1900
NO ask: 0.8500
Last: 0.1900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tyler Duncan finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOUR is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1890 + ~$0.0108 est. fees
Days to maturity: 4
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue