Pair #12617

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-COPC26-JDAH

Will Joel Dahmen lead at the end of Round 1 in the Corales Puntacana Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Joel Dahmen
Expiration: 2026-08-02T00:00:00Z
Volume: 825

YES ask: 0.0160
NO ask: 0.9960
Last: 0.0160

View on Kalshi

Rules If Joel Dahmen is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-COPC26-JDAH

Will Joel Dahmen win the Corales Puntacana Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Joel Dahmen
Expiration: 2026-07-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4708

YES ask: 0.0150
NO ask: 0.9870
Last: 0.0150

View on Kalshi

Rules If Joel Dahmen wins the Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -23.11% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0110 + ~$0.0013 est. fees
Days to maturity: 17
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -27.34% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue