Pair #12614

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-COPC26-BBRO

Will Blades Brown lead at the end of Round 1 in the Corales Puntacana Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Blades Brown
Expiration: 2026-08-02T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1292

YES ask: 0.0280
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0290

View on Kalshi

Rules If Blades Brown is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-COPC26-BBRO

Corales Puntacana Championship: Will Blades Brown finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Blades Brown
Expiration: 2026-08-02T00:00:00Z
Volume: 456

YES ask: 0.4300
NO ask: 0.6100
Last: 0.4400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Blades Brown finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -99.96% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.4300 + ~$0.0172 est. fees
Days to maturity: 17
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.19% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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